Remember 2009 in Iran? That was the year of a presidential election in which the people of Iran were completely unrepresented by the man who won the presidential election: Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. That was the election in which those in the moderate Green Movement were suppressed and all forms of demonstrations were completely squashed by the ram’s second horn.
It looks like the regime that is going to bring us the Second Signpost has finally figured out how to have a nice, quiet, kind election. I knew they had finally learned when they allowed Rouhani to win the presidential election of 2013 as I wrote in Daniel Revisited,
“…the supreme leader and the IRGC let Rouhani win so the majority of the public of Iran would be pacified long enough to allow the regime to complete its plans.” p. 178, (Westbow edition)
Don’t be fooled by stories like this, where people who don’t know where real power lies in Iran are celebrating that the reformists and moderates have made wonderful gains so that the conservatives, the principlists, might actually have less power.
Instead, this story gets it right. The regime will always try to figure out a way to keep the majority of people pacified while its plans move forward. After this election nothing has changed. Many reformists are actually conservatives just as the story says. Just like Rouhani isn’t really a reformist. He just has a smooth tongue.
Did anything really change due to the election of the parliament and Assembly of Experts on February 26? Yes and no. No, the Assembly of Experts will elect the next supreme leader who will lead Iran into the Second Signpost if Khamenei dies. And yes, the regime figured out how to have a nice, quiet election. At least with this election we didn’t see pictures of the Basij riding around on their fiery-red-second-signpost-signature Honda motorbikes and people getting hurt. Instead, for the election of 2016 we just see pictures of Iranian citizens looking hopeful.