(8 June 2026) It is now 11 pm MST June 8, or, 5 AM GMT, June 9. We have been watching world and Mideast events surrounding the closure of the Strait of Hormuz by the IRGC.
The Strait has been closed to normal traffic for 100 days.
Doing the math of roughly 15 million barrels removed per day from the world’s economy, which is 1.5 billion barrels of oil total removed. That’s equivalent to the world’s inventory in storage prior to the war.
The idea of the Second Signpost having started March 2 (with the closure of the Strait of Hormuz) is still in play. And it will remain in play and then either be disproved when the regime is completely disbanded, or will be confirmed when the Ram runs out across the Middle East.
100 days. The regime has been waiting for the excess inventory to empty in order to maximize the economic pain coming to the world.
So What is Next? The Puzzle Pieces
Here are the puzzle pieces.
There were two videos in two posts here (from June 4 and June 5) showing that Iran may have a nuclear bomb.
The regime still wants to bring chaos to the world, and conquer the Muslim nations to bring about the Mahdi.
The US military, though possibly being defeated by weapons Iran may possess but we haven’t seen yet (like hypersonic missiles to take out ships), still stands in the way of Iran’s goals.
From this post, it seems Israel has a major voice on how US forces are used.
Iran has, or at least pretends to have, nuclear bombs.
And these revelations of nukes and Israeli control just came out in the last 3 days.
So What is Next? The Possible Scenario
What if Iran detonates an atomic bomb on its own soil “proving” Iran has the bomb?
Whether Iran has a second or third bomb, or not, doesn’t matter. It doesn’t need another bomb.
For what if Iran then holds Israel for ransom saying, “US forces leave the Middle East entirely or we will destroy Israel with nuclear annihilation”?
Might Israel push the US to leave to save there own skins?
After US forces leave, Iran is free to destroy the remainder of the Arab oil infrastructure and march its armies across the Middle East.
Conclusion
Does this sound plausible?
I’m only connecting a set of possible dots.
This scenario clears the way for the Second Signpost to occur, if indeed the Second Signpost is to really occur.
This could possibly happen in the next few days.
Keep watch.
Categories: ALERT, In The News, Israel, Signpost #2: Iran, World in the End Times
THE FOUR SIGNPOSTS 
The second signpost could start tomorrow, or only in several months. It depends on the assessments of the IRGC command.
The suffering of the Iranian people has no priority for them, but something else does:
Their army must be battle ready. It must have enough water, food and fuel for a prolonged campaign by IRGC, Basji and Artesh in a very hot and very dry region.
I think this factor is very important: It cannot be too hot. I expect very many of the Iranian army will be wide-spread infantry, not in convoys of trucks and armoured cars because these are targets. They will have no protection against sun and heat. And of the trucks and armoured cars, I suspect not too many will have airco.
For instance, Kuwait from June – August at night never gets below 30 C (86 F), and at day often approaches 50 C (122 F). In the full sun in the early afternoon it can even get to 60 C (140 F). That is like Death Valley. Imagine to be an infantry soldier there, carrying a heavy helmet, rifle and munition. Bare survival is doubtful, and fight in daytime? Forget it.
So for this reason I would expect them to attack in September at the earliest.
If maybe a veteran of Desert Storm or a similar campaign reads this and knows better than I do, please correct me.
Moreover, if they wait until fall, exploding oil prices, demand destruction, scarcity and logistical problems should have hit the world and many of the common people fully. Possibly the US congress and/or public will have called back the US forces from the Middle East by then. This will then make an invasion much easier for Iran.
Main stream news about the influence of the Gulf War on shipping, excerpt from Dutch:
“Experts are speaking about the throttling of the Strait of Hormuz as the ‘new normal’ for the maritime world, a ‘new reality’. The new normal differs by trade flow: bulk (dry, oil, chemicals) or containers.
Bulk can be done by tramp shipping: Ships are guided to where the cargo is and where the cargo needs to go. This is flexible, allowing shifting routes. In crisis situations there even is more profit for these shipping companies due to scarcity.
For container shipping, transporting all the consumer goods and much more, it is a different story. These use tight schedules with fixed departures and arrivals. Optimized logistics is very important for both timely availability and for low pricing of the goods. The inaccessibility of Dubai, one of the major container hubs in the Middle East, is a really big problem.
The rising prices for container transport will gradually be passed on to the consumer. This is a slow process in which everything will eventually become more expensive.
The Strait of Hormuz opening and free traffic resuming is not on the agenda. Shipping companies have to strike deals with Iran to continue sailing through the Strait, or run the risk and switch off their transponders.”
https://www.bnr.nl/nieuws/internationaal/10602765/straat-van-hormuz-blijft-voorlopig-no-gozone-scheepvaart-moet-zich-opmaken-voor-nieuw-normaal
On top of the above, and this is both for bulk and for container shipping: The shipping sector is fast approaching a fuel crisis that could paralyse a tenth of the global fleet. From S&P:
The global shipping industry in 2025 consumed roughly 3.3 million b/d of residual fuels, and 870,000 b/d of marine gasoil, equivalent to almost 5% of global oil product consumption.
Since the Middle East war erupted, markets have been preoccupied with potential shortfalls in diesel and jet fuel traditionally exported in large quantities from the Persian Gulf. However, as refiners strain to maximise production of diesel and kerosene, shipping fuels have suffered.
Unlike other sectors, the shipping industry lacks a buffer of state reserves to manage emergency crises. There will be regional stock-outs by July and there are potentially outages in the major hubs by August. September at the latest.
Singapore, the world’s largest bunker hub, saw residual fuel supplies near one-year lows in April, but has pulled additional stock from Europe and Russia to slow losses. Inventories in Northwest Europe have continued to slide, however, and stocks in the UAE’s Fujairah have languished at record lows.
Prices for 0.5% sulphur fuel oil – the industry’s most popular fuel type – almost doubled in the first three weeks of the war. Values have since eased a little, but remain almost 60% higher than pre-war levels.
As the conflict drags on and shortages become more visible, confidence on future fuel availability is faltering. Mass fuel shortages could trigger trade congestion on the scale of the Covid-19 pandemic – shutting down as much as 10% of marine traffic. On top of 400 tankers still stuck in the Gulf.
As vessels jostle for limited supply, lower-margin segments like dry bulk are most likely to be caught short, exacerbating challenges for agricultural sectors relying on fertilisers for next year’s crops.
(And that on top of the 30% fertiliser shortages…)
https://www.spglobal.com/energy/en/news-research/latest-news/refined-products/060326-interview-mercuria-shipping-head-says-fuel-shortages-could-idle-10-of-global-fleet
Adamant,
Absolutely. Couldn’t have said it better myself. And September is when analysts have calculated refineries around the world will be shutting down due to low levels of oil in the so-called pipeline. Perfect.
actually we are already in the second sign post troops do not necessarily have to be on the ground, it could be a combination of missile and troops eventually but as of now one of the only things I’m waiting for is the amassing of foreign troops in Turkey, this may take a couple of years.
Some time ago we talked on this site about the expected jet-fuel shortages in Europe. At the moment it seems this will become less bad than expected, because:
– Saudi Arabia is now shipping more kerosene to Europe than it did when the Strait was still open. More than ever even. All through the Red Sea port of Yanbu.
– Europe has increased its jet fuel imports from the US and Nigeria.
The International Energy Agency previously said Europe could start seeing some shortages of jet fuel by June, although European airlines have downplayed fears of a summer shortage.
https://english.alarabiya.net/News/saudi-arabia/2026/06/09/saudi-jet-fuel-supply-to-europe-higher-than-before-hormuz-closure-data-shows
If the Houthi’s should close Strait Bab el Mandeb, even more oil and fuels will flow from Yanbu north to Europe, but that would be to the detriment of Asia and Australia.
Hopeful,
Somewhat true. The Second Signpost opening phase of the peace being taken away has started. I meant the boots on the ground part. Boots on the ground will be necessary as that is part of their Guardianship of the Jurisprudent. Can’t start revolutions in all countries without boots on the ground in one way or another.