In this last post, I wrote that the attack on the UAE was just an extension of the ongoing Sunni-Shia war going on via proxy in Yemen and Syria. On further reflection, there is a little more to it.
The Iranian-backed Houthi drone and missile attack on the Saudi ally United Arab Emirates (UAE) last month can be thought of as a test.
Some commentators like this one have pointed to the idea that Iran is telling the UAE that it should change its alliance away from Israel.
However, being aware of the Signposts, there is another aspect that is apparent.
I believe the one reason Iran has not already conducted the Second Signpost is due to the heavy presence of the American military. As Daniel 8:4 says, “No other beasts could stand before him, nor was there anyone to rescue from his power.” (NASB) This could mean either American forces will be defeated by Iran, or it could also mean the American military will vacate the area due to war with China over Taiwan and/or war with Russia over Ukraine.
By directly attacking the UAE via its Houthi proxy, Iran is also testing the American military. As it turns out, two incoming Iranian mid-range missiles were intercepted by the American-deployed anti-missile system THAAD. Built by Lockheed, it has been in development for some twenty years and has been deployed all over the world.
The lesson for the IRGC would be that not only have other elements of the American military been standing in the way of the Second Signpost, but the American THAAD could intercept missile attacks, to some extent, launched from Iranian soil.
This would confirm the IRGC would need to change tactics, or wait until its allies Russia and China deal with the US in a military confrontation.
Categories: The Four Signposts