No Good Exit for America at This Point (Day 66)

(5 May 2026) It is now 10 pm MST May 5, or, 4 AM GMT, May 6. As of now, the Strait of Hormuz has been blocked for 66 days.

The idea of the Second Signpost having started March 2 is still in play. And it will remain in play until the regime is completely disbanded, or until the Ram runs out across the Middle East.

This commentary summarizes the potential plight for President Trump and the US military. I tend to agree with his conclusions.

The article states that there are basically only two options for America: (1) Launch a full-scale ground invasion and try to topple the Iranian government, or (2) try to create the appearance of a win, and declare victory by claiming the objectives were met even when they clearly were not.

If Trump declares victory and leaves, that is saying that Iran won by simply surviving and continuing to hold the Strait of Hormuz hostage. In this scenario, the second horseman would take away more and more of the peace of mind of the earth.

If Trump decides to have America invade, it probably would not be successful simply because Iran is a mountainous country as large in area as the US east of the Mississippi River.

Either way, Iran will continue to choke one-fifth of the world’s oil from the world economy, and a third of its natural gas and half its fertilizer.

We can hear rhetoric about bombing the hell out of them, but the question is, bomb what? All the positions are hidden. It would take at least many months for an army of hundreds of thousands to comb over the Zagros Mountains to find hidden positions. Is that worth it? All the while the Petrodollar withers and dies?

Conclusion

It basically comes down to this.

If Trump declares “victory” and leaves, the Second Signpost will definitely come and it may come fast since the IRGC will have no one to oppose them.

If Trump decides to invade, but is not successful, the Second Signpost will also come quickly since the IRGC has threatened they would destroy all Arab oil facilities if either the US simply strikes Iran’s power plants, or if it invades with boots on the ground.

A third option might be to keep the stalemate going, but this will allow the second horseman to spread his misery globally since the Strait will stay closed. At least the loss of peace of mind intensity would arise slower. However, how long could the US maintain the stalemate? For that matter, why prolong growing misery?

Keep watch. With every passing day as it is now, the Second Signpost is increasing its chance of arriving.



Categories: In The News, Signpost #2: Iran, USA in the End Times, World in the End Times

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8 replies

  1. Won’t you think the second horseman would come faster if the US decides to invade? Because Iran said they will bomb all gulf facilities if the US invades Iran (since Iran views gulf countries complicit in harboring US bases). Iran will also let their proxy Houthis close the Mandeb Bab strait at the red sea.

    and if the gulf facilities are bombed and the other strait is closed, the second horseman is definitely at play

  2. “would not be successful simply because Iran is a mountainous country the side of the US east of the Mississippi River.”

    I was having a hard time remebering when the Persian Gulf Jumped from the Middle East to the Midwest when I realized it’s supposed to say “size”. The proofreading part of my brain disengaged too LOL.

    I can’t plant enough potatoes to feed the world, and I don’t have the ships to reach them even if I could. My pride says I’m still able-bodied but my joints say otherwise.

    Iowa has reached nearly 2/3rds wind-generated electricity. None of folks here could believe that figure when they first heard it. I wish we could expand on that, help neighboring states reach their potential in the field and translate that success over to the realm of electric vehicles. Folks to tend to tune out “green” projects, even when they might actually help.

    https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-6199652

    https://canisgallicus.com/2025/08/28/new-atlas/

    https://interestingengineering.com/transportation/worlds-largest-electric-ship-first-trial

    https://www.slashgear.com/1931552/how-electric-cargo-ships-work-explained/

    https://www.volticshipping.com/

    https://electrek.co/2024/05/02/fully-electric-10000-ton-container-ship-begun-service50000-kwh-batteries/

  3. Miz,
    Good point. I forgot that. As soon as I can today I’m going to revise that statement. Thanks, I appreciate it.

  4. K,
    Yeah, I was tired. I revised a few things in the post, like moving Iran from the Midwest to the Middle East. Thanks.

  5. A thought experiment: if someone has been quietly arming non-IRGC forces in Iran, the announcement of a “peace” agreement that leaves the IRGC in place could trigger a rebellion in Iran. The IRGC might decide it’s easier to invade neighboring countries that have small armies than fight 90% of Iranians that want to be free of them.

  6. Gordon Leland Peterson's avatar

    America is the worst place in the world to know what is going on in the other countries of planet earth. India, for example, gets 60% of its oil from the Persian Gulf. The closing of the Persian Gulf has caused its economy to drop from the 4th largest economy to the 6th largest. People are leaving the mega cities to return to their villages because there is no fuel to cook their food. Feelings about America are going downhill because of the way America tries to control them through bullying. “Do as we tell you — or we will slap higher and higher tariffs on you.”

  7. hopefularbiter629a211c1d's avatar

    absolutely Trump is between a rock and a hard place, there’s really nothing he can do he needs to realize this quickly, every day this war takes and everyday he plays these games of no negotiations, and then some negotiations the clock keeps moving forward so will trouble,I think he’s currently in the China pause. I think a lot of people don’t realize that Iran has been given It’s own nuclear bomb, The straits of Hormuz this choke point Will cause more damage than many nuclear bombs. Through famines, and unemployment, and economic catastrophes, let’s hope the West has an aha moment. for my part I think the only thing that Iran has to do is sit and continue to gain power and control. I almost feel they don’t have to even push out into the middle East, because their missiles already push out in all the directions that is mentioned in Daniel, nor do I think there has to be a religious war none of those things are suggested or specified in the Bible. in my eyes this would not diminish the fulfillment of Daniel 8:4 as a prophecy, please correct me if I’m wrong Mark. I see the battle in Ukraine and both sides have hundreds of thousands of troops but are barely able to move a kilometer here and there, can you imagine the middle East, Time is absolutely on Iran’s side, if the West cannot find it in our hearts to create an equitable peace treaty because they feel they’ll get egg on their face then they’ll have to do something crazy as scripture says from the direction of Turkey. I would suspect this on again off again war will be with us for the next year maybe we won’t be too concerned about that war because we’ll be worried about where our next meal is coming from.

  8. Hopeful,
    Yes, all possibilities. Regarding the regime’s armies not moving out over the Middle East, anything is possible, but the Second Signpost per Signpost theory interprets the Bear and the Ram are boots on the ground. The Bear would be boots, just as the Lion was boots under Saddam.

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