Day 70: The Iranian Regime Controls the Strait

(9 May 2026) It is now 10 pm MST May 9, or, 4 AM GMT, May 10. As of now, the Strait of Hormuz has been blocked for 70 days.

The idea of the Second Signpost having started March 2 is still in play. And it will remain in play and either be disproved when the regime is completely disbanded, or will be confirmed when the Ram runs out across the Middle East.

Iran Sets New Rules for Strait of Hormuz

This news story reports that the regime has started a new Persian Gulf Strait Authority (PGSA) to implement their control over the Strait.

All ships associated with the US, Israel, or their allies are not allowed in. All other ships must apply and be approved for transit.

Conclusion

There is no sign at this time of the Strait of Hormuz opening up, or the Persian Gulf nations restarting their production.

One of the two goals of the regime, that is to create economic chaos across the earth, is being achieved. As long as the Strait is closed, oil inventories will be reduced to zero, more and more countries will experience fuel shortages, and the US will feel the loss of the petrodollar.

Keep watch.



Categories: In The News, Signpost #2: Iran, USA in the End Times, World in the End Times

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5 replies

  1. Yes, Iran controls the Strait. Today/Yesterday for the first time since the war started, a loaded LNG vessel successfully sailed from Qatar to Pakistan:

    https://english.alarabiya.net/News/middle-east/2026/05/10/us-iran-no-closer-to-ending-war-as-qatari-tanker-sails-toward-strait-of-hormuz

    It used the route approved by Iran.
    Two other vessels were attacked.

    Saudi Aramco: “The world has lost about 1 billion barrels of oil over the past two months. Energy markets will take time to stabilise even if flows resume”:

    https://english.alarabiya.net/business/energy/2026/05/10/aramco-ceo-warns-1-billion-barrels-lost-will-slow-oil-market-recovery

    The oil price has risen so much that Aramco now earns much more money even with its limited flow of 7 bpd through the pipeline than before when they had the full output.
    The pipeline can supply about 2 million bpd to refineries on Saudi Arabia’s west coast, leaving 5 million bpd for export:

    https://english.alarabiya.net/business/energy/2026/05/10/saudi-aramco-says-net-profit-up-more-than-25-percent-in-first-quarter

    This helps a lot to keep the petrodollar system afloat too. If Iran decides to keep hurting the petrodollar, they will have to destroy this pipeline.
    This may become more difficult as time progresses, because the Gulf states increasingly are protected by state-of-the-art Ukrainian anti-drone systems.

  2. This all seems like a clown-show with those fake proposals and counter-proposals. Iran, led by the new Khomeini who thinks he is “the Khorasani”, which is the one who paves the way for the ‘Mahdi’ (e.g. by creating chaos and turmoil per their Twelver Shia ideology) won’t budge on anything, especially the issue of the strait of Hormuz since the IR government doesn’t care about the reprecussions. They see it through an apocalyptic lens. They are just pretending to negotiate to bide time and worsen the economic situation around the world.

    On the other hand, you have the US led by Trump who is making contineous false statements about how far the negotations are going paired with threats right after each other. And of course, just before those announcements, massive moneylines are bet on the stock market, blatant insider trading by Trump and his associates. He cares more about the midterms, so is more in a rush to get this over with which Iran knows. But he also wants to be the president that makes ‘a mark in the history books’ by subdueing Iran and perhaps getting the nobel peace prize he really wants.

    Then you have Netanyahu who doesn’t care about economic repercussions, but wants to resume the war to deal damaging blows to the Iranian government. He is talking to Trump every day.

    I may be off, but is it really realistic that a peace agreement will be made? One that lasts? Or is it more likely that the ‘negotiations’ drag on for another couple months and it’ll end with the US and Israel bombing Iran and Iran retaliating with bombing all Gulf infrastructure and indefinitely closing the Hormuz and Mandeb Bab through the Houthi proxies, thus opening the second seal and be a catalyst for the third and fourth seal.

  3. Mij,
    Yes on several counts.
    Trump pulled the trigger of Iran choking oil off from the world. They will continue to choke off the world of oil in order to bring the chaos to bring their Mahdi. Yes, they are completely focused on Mahdi. And by choking off the oil they will likely bring down the petrodollar as well.
    The peace treaties and ceasefires only to serve to kill time for Iran, and to help paint a better picture of the real fix Trump has gotten the US ans himself into.

  4. Letting the current stand off last as long as possible also helps Iran in replenishing stockpiles of drones, missiles and other things:
    – They have opened at least four new border crossings into Pakistan to let as much freight trucks as possible drive from Pakistani ports into Iran. Who knows what they get by this route, and from whom.
    – Increasing help from Russia is coming by the Caspian Sea.
    On both of these routes the US blockade has no effect.

    On the other hand, this long stand off helps the rest of the world to adapt just a bit to the new situation, rerouting supply lines and learning to be more frugal. So the world will be a bit better prepared for the eventual expected destruction of the entire Gulf infrastructure than if it had happened already.

  5. @Adamant True, that’s also a big part, as well as the United States biding time to gear up for possible escalation, there is another Wasp-class amphibious assault ship from the US named USS boxer, which is another enormous ship with special forces.

    https://news.usni.org/2026/05/04/usni-news-fleet-and-marine-tracker-may-4-2026

    And Netanyahu has recently given an interview where he stated that the nuclear material needs to be removed from Iranian soil and that Trump agreed to it.

    https://www.cbsnews.com/news/netanyahu-us-israel-iran-60-minutes-transcript/

    It all seems like both parties are delaying the inevitable while gearing up for war. But Iran is waiting for the US to go first, since they want to paint the US in a bad light in the world stage, so they are playing along with those fake proposals and counter proposals, where they aren’t budging except for a few minor details every proposal. Iran is waiting for the US and Trump to be impatient enough to strike Iran again and that’s where the escalation will happen in my opinion.

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