(27 April 2026) It is now 10 pm MST April 27, or, 4 AM GMT, April 28. As of now, the Strait of Hormuz has been blocked for 58 days.
The idea of the Second Signpost having started March 2 is still in play. And it will remain in play until the regime is completely disbanded, or until the Ram runs out across the Middle East.
Four Videos
There are two flavors of news stories these days: the war with Iran itself, and the effects worldwide of the second horseman, that is, the loss of peace of mind.
Four videos are available, two on the war, and two on the loss of peace of mind across the earth.
I’ve seen all four and they have good information.
The Progress of the Iran War
The first video is “Professor” Jiang teaching why the American empire collapses next year. The basic message is not that Iran will necessarily win the war, but it is the US that will lose the war.
However, if this is the Second Signpost, we would be able to say that eventually Iran will win the war. Also, Jiang admitted he didn’t know Iran would attack the oil infrastructure of the Arab countries. The Second Signpost interpretation says they would, however.
The second video is another interview of retired Col. Douglas MacGregor and reports developments both in Iran and the US
Loss of Peace of Mind
The third video is one of those AI-generated videos, but provides some good information on how an actual dollar collapse would look to average Americans. It talks about how a digital bank run would work today, and how inflation runs through trade and supply chains. It also identifies the three assets that are relatively safe. These three are productive assets like farms, foreign currencies you may hold that are not falling like the dollar, and actual barterable goods including precious metals.
The fourth video was pointed out to us by a reader. It is about how oil shortage is worse than you may think.
The opening mantra is, “We burn optimism while oil burns out.” The speaker, Chris Martenson, is a financial analyst who knows what he is talking about. He confirms how, as I said in a recent post, the paper oil prices are hiding the awful shortage of oil we are all about to experience.
Around 01:12 of the video Chris makes the case that oil consumption is directly linked to world GDP. So if the world loses one-fifth of its oil, in the end, world GDP contracts by one-fifth. This would mean great unemployment and greater poverty.
Conclusion
Well, if this isn’t the opening stages of the Second Signpost, I don’t know what else could be. Worldwide loss of peace of mind has already hit several Asian nations and is about to become worse everywhere else once the excess inventories are used up.
The war itself is starting to go badly for the US.
We should know within a month if we are indeed in the Second Signpost. However, as every day goes by the probability of this being the Second Signpost, keeps going up. Personally, I would give it a positive at about 60/40.
Keep watch.
Categories: In The News, Signpost #2: Iran, USA in the End Times, World in the End Times
THE FOUR SIGNPOSTS 
The news on fuel prices and shortages is all about cars, trucks, agricultural machines, planes and emergency power supplies; the latter all need diesel.
Nothing yet about the fuel for ships on rivers, lakes, seas and oceans, who transport the bulk of the world’s trade of goods, chemicals and fuels.
So I asked a friend who is an officer on a seagoing vessel.
Most ships use:
1. Marine Gas Oil (MGO), also called Ultra-low Sulphur fuel
2. Marine Diesel Oil (MDO), also called Very-low Sulphur fuel
3. Heavy Fuel Oil (HFO), which contains a lot of sulphur, and has to be heated to remain liquid. Usually 30% cheaper than MGO and MDO.
The situation on the water is similar to on land and in the air:
The prices of MGO and MDO have doubled.
There are no shortages yet, but they are expected.
And the quality of MGO is already going down, my friend noticed himself.
HFO is very polluting, and its smoke is hazardous for sailors and workers in ports. So it is often banned near land. It is banned in all of Europe, but is still often used on ocean going vessels.
But just like in Asian countries bans on coal are now suspended, so power plants burning coal are restarted, it is possible to lift the bans on HFO if the shortages of MGO and MDO become too dire.
And my friend also volunteered a fact I had not thought about: It is not just fuel shortages that are expected, but also shortages of lubricating oil.
A lot of this is needed for ships, but also for EVERY machine or engine with moving parts…
Adamant,
Good info. It’s amazing to me how petroleum in all its forms works into the fabric of our society. Even car tires, roof tiles, cosmetics, etc.
@adamant very interesting, makes you think how depended all the different essential industries are on oil… I’m thinking, since EU is a bit more reliant on the gulf that we might be more screwed than the US? I’m about to graduate from uni having a honestly a tough time behind me and things are finally going a bit better, and now this whole situation is going on. Would you think, in your opinion, that the Netherlands (and maybe by extension the whole EU) will experience extreme shortages with rationing and potential energy lockdowns? And would you think South America would be a better option to be in during this time? I’m not able to cultivate anything (I live in a 20m^2 studio), am getting laid off from my student job next month and graduate as well? I haven’t lived life up until this moment at all and don’t want to spend my years in another rationing lockdown full of scarcity and being stuck…
Not trying to put you on the spot at all, but just wondering what your outlook is on how the Netherlands (and the EU) will be in terms of day to day life if this were to be the second seal and if you think South America will be better equipped…
@mijzelf:
I do not know enough about South America to make an honest comparison between its economical prospects and those of Europe. I read somewhere in this blog (or in a link in this blog) that Brasil is extremely dependent on fertilisers from the Persian Gulf. This does not bode well for the food situation there. Here my knowledge on South America ends.
I do not feel especially unsafe in The Netherlands in Europe. The European Commission is not in denial and already gives good advice to the member states. And the Dutch national government seems to be more awake than the other European national governments. The Dutch are reluctant in taking measures to mitigate the crisis now, and not because of denial or paralysis. No, already soon after the war started they said that they believe things may get much worse than most people expect, so they prepare against that and keep their powder dry for the really hard times. And Netherlands has many refineries and oil and fuel storages, so at least we have a good starting point.
I am not a prophet, but my best guess is that yes, we Europeans are going to get the same shortages that Asia already suffers from. Including rationing. I would not be surprised if soon (sometime this summer) all flying to purely tourist destinations will cease completely. Bus- and train travel for purely tourist purposes may suffer the same fate later, and the use of cars may become so expensive and/or fuel rationed that no one will want to use them for pure leisure any more. Hiking and biking will become more popular than ever. Having vacations in your own country or province will become normal again. These are not bad things in itself.
It will not be an isolating lockdown like during covid/corona. Visiting one another and cooperating to help one another to weather the situation will be stimulated. It may help to become less individualistic and learn to co-operate again. And I do not think you will remain stuck here. It is not 80% of the world’s fuels, chemicals and fertilisers that is gone, but 20-30% in most cases. Luxurious things disappear to keep necessary things available. Travel by plane, train, bus and car will remain, just much more expensive, and only for necessary reasons. I think emigration will remain possible, unless the safe-haven country you want to go to blocks immigration because too many people will try to get there.
So far the economic aspects and sufferings. Mark Davidson believes that Islam will conquer Europe at some point. I hope he is wrong, but he might be right. If that happens South America will be a safer place to be than Europe. But if it happens, it will be only after the fourth seal/signpost. And we have no idea how much time there will be between the signposts. So we are not yet there.
I also live in a small studio in a city and I prepare as well as I can, but this has limits. I also have endured long and severe troubles and have recently come out of them. I also would like to have an easier and more enjoyable life now. I too am not longing for troubles. But we have to follow Jesus wherever we are and in whatever time we find ourselves to be in. What God wants or expects of us may not be what our “flesh” or “old nature” desires. Us finding the safest and most comfortable place to stay out of suffering and persecution may not be what God wants for us. Ultimately, “living life to the full” may remain loving those around us and witnessing for Jesus, even in grim places and situations, for some even until martyrdom. The real leisure and reward and safety will come only after this life.
@adamant thank you for the text and advice, you have some great insights. Well, I think as well that Islam will go on a pogrom through Europe when their Mahdi ‘liberates Palestine (which is conquering Jerusalem and Israel)’. I personally believe Al-Sharaa will be the guy to do it, as the final manifestation of the king of the North/little horn/man of sin. I’m seeing more and more islamic people over the years here, and as someone who grew up in amsterdam new-west and am now also very close to a ‘stronghold’, the muslim youth and adults here are a powder keg waiting to explode. You can walk to Plein ’40-’45 and see a bit how the future might look like if they were to take over in a caliphate style,
The thing for me is that I have 3 family members left and no friends or acquaintances, and haven’t experienced life at all till this point (not even ‘lived normal life’, let alone ‘to the fullest’) in terms of friends, dating a woman, travelling, community, just doing ‘normal’ stuff, whatever so I guess I’m just looking for a place where I can live a normal life if this event truly were to be the second seal. I’m finally beginning to come out of this downward spiral, so I’d really be mad at myself if I didn’t ‘escape’ and am stuck here for the few years leading up to the tribulation with food QR code rationing without any friends and such if I could have the chance to start over in another place… Unfortunately I have a few months left to finish my degree. Sorry for the pity-dump (wasn’t meant to sound that way), but I guess I just wanted to say where I was coming from and not just from an ‘I want more abudance’-mindset.
I think though that if this were to be the second signpost that the third and fourth would come very quick as a domino-effect. I think you (or another poster on this website) posted on the upcoming medicine crisis that stems from the Hormuz closure (let alone the destruction of Gulf facilities) and I think you also posted about a potential super el-nino making this even a more bigger catastrophical event. Zechariah 6 also gives more information on where the horses will be primarily focused.
Zech 6:2 “With the first chariot were red horses, with the second chariot black horses, 3 with the third chariot white horses, and with the fourth chariot dappled horses—strong steeds”
Zech 6:6 “6 [a]The one with the black horses is going to the north country, the white are going after them, and the dappled are going toward the south country.””
Rev 6:6 “6And I heard a voice in the midst of the four beasts say, A measure of wheat for a penny, and three measures of barley for a penny; and [see] thou hurt not the oil and the wine.” [which in my opinion looks like your wage will be just enough for essential things which will skyrocket in price, but luxury goods can’t be touched]
Rev 6:8 “8And I looked, and behold a pale horse: and his name that sat on him was Death, and Hell followed with him. And power was given unto them over the fourth part of the earth, to kill with sword, and with hunger, and with death, and with the beasts of the earth.”
Zechariah was prophecising in Jerusalem, and if you look at the world map, you’ll see that almost all first world countries are above Israel (with the exception of Australia and New Zealand) and almost all third world countries are below it. I think the second seal will be a chain-reaction event…
But maybe I’m too doom and gloom on how the Netherlands will look like, do you estimate we’ll have super cold winters, energy lockdowns in the sense that there will barely be transport (even domestic) available (except for essential jobs), QR-code style food rationing, etc? Or am I maybe just being too doom-y about it
Mijzelf (and Adamant),
Been reading your posts about your perspectives from the Netherlands. According to statistics I see Amsterdam, Rotterdam, and The Hague are all 1/8 to 1/6 Muslim(!).
In my own book and research into prophecy, and Big Babel (Babylon the Great) in Hidden Babylon, I believe the Antichrist kingdom will progress in this timeline – (1) Fourth Signpost integrates all of traditional Islamic Realm, (2) First half of Tribulation absorbs Europe (not too hard to believe both with the number of Muslims combined with the loss of oil) and Africa, and (3) Last half of Tribulation, Antichrist has his empire bear down on Israel (Gog-Magog War).
Antichrist might hold oil over the heads of Europeans in exchange for receiving the mark. And no, his empire will not be global. It might be safer in Russia, than west Europe. Russia and China will oppose Antichrist and he will not conquer them (the Bible actually suggests this, and the idea of a one world government is only fantasy stemming from old and wrong traditional teachings). The Americas will not be part of his empire either. Many reasons that go beyond the scope of this comment. (And I couldn’t tell you what parts of the Americas would be safest.)
God bless you both.
@Mark:
I checked the numbers for the big cities, and you are correct. For all of Netherlands together it is 1/16 Muslims at present. Already for a long time this is growing very slowly. At the present pace we will have 1/10 Muslims only in 2050.
In a purely democratic process, we would need 1/2 for changing laws, and 2/3 for changing the constitution, to make Netherlands a Muslim state.
But that is theoretical; if militant enough, smaller numbers are sufficient. Lenin, Hitler and Mao all took over their countries long before they were supported by majorities.
Take over at 1/5? doubtful. 1/4? probably. 1/3? certainly.
Being now at only 1/16, with the present growth rate it will take a century to get there.
Only if we get a much more massive and long-lasting influx of Muslim refugees as a consequence of the signposts in the Middle East we will get there sooner.
Yet also if: “Antichrist might hold oil over the heads of Europeans in exchange for receiving the mark” – and natural gas, fertiliser, medicines, etc. Unfortunately I think that this would work. Then not even a much bigger immigration of Muslim refugees is needed, for the Dutch/Europeans will become Muslims themselves in majority. Maybe not because of conviction, but because Mammon (money, luxury, leisure, pleasure) already was the god they worshipped anyway, and the beast gives rewards to his followers according to prophecy…
And thanx for the timeline.
@Mijzelf:
I think you are right about the domino effect accelerating things; prophecy also speaks about these things behaving like birth contractions. These get ever quicker after one another, and more intense. Strictly speaking, this only indicates that the time between the second and third signposts will be shorter than between the first and second, thus shorter than a few dozen years. Anything between a month and, say, a quarter of a century.
But yes, if many things go all wrong at the same moment, my guess is a year or a few years.
Cold winters would make the need for more fossil fuels more dire. But at present we are still helped by climate change. Europe is heating up faster than any other inhabited part of the world. So for the near future winters require ever less fuel for heating.
However, for the farther future you will be right. Climate scientists predict with some confidence a collapse of the Gulf Stream in the North Atlantic some time this century. Then climate in Northwest Europe will rapidly cool down, undoing all heating up, and probably even worse. Then much more heating fuel will be needed. At the moment the climate/ocean models are not yet precise enough to predict more accurately than “between now and 2100”, but they are getting better.
The Netherlands are a big exporter of food: meat, dairy, fruits and vegetables. So I expect Netherlands will be one of the last countries getting famine, and will help other Europeans.
We also export lots of flowers and flower bulbs.
Even with much less fertiliser, all the flower-and-flower bulb fields and greenhouses can be turned to food production to compensate.
I forgot to add: Climate change at present is making the summers in Northwest Europe hotter but also drier. This can lead to a decreased output of agriculture.
Adamant,
Actually for consistency’s sake, I said in my comment that the big cities are around one-sixth Muslim, i.e. “16” percent. Is that what you found? Is it 1/16 or 1/6 in the big cities? I did find that the Netherlands overall is 1/16, which would mean the smaller towns and countryside would not be Muslim at all.
@Mark:
I checked more precise now:
A few of the bigger Dutch cities have almost 20% Muslims, which is 1/5.
Roughly: A smaller Dutch city means a lower percentage of Muslims.
In villages in the countryside they are only found in immigration centers for asylum seekers, where they wait to be allowed to remain or not.
In The Netherlands as a whole, there are at most 6% Muslims, which is roughly 1/17.
Adamant,
It breaks my heart about the Netherlands, and in fact the west half of Europe (UK, France, Germany, Sweden, etc): all the productivity in agriculture and industry, all the architecture, music, art, basically achieving the pinnacle of human civilization, gone in 10-20-30 years because Islam will destroy it all due to Europe abandoning its Christian roots. Christianity made the European continent and its civilization. Sad to think only 120 years ago Europe controlled the world and the Islamic Realm, but it self-destructed with two world wars and turning away from God.
@Mark,
I can relate to your sentiment. But we must all realise that, if this is indeed the acceleration towards the end, it is equally the acceleration towards the return of Jesus, towards restoration of the Earth and of justice.
The prophecies are not just there to scare us and to make us prepare, so we remain alive longer and can remain witnesses for Jesus longer. They are there even more to encourage us. So that when we see (and firsthand feel) the fulfilment of predicted persecution, war and disaster, we look forward to what comes soon after. Then it does not matter so much whether we remain alive until Jesus comes for us, or are martyred, or die in the disasters. For after His return we all will be alive; either survived, or resurrected.
And in revelations there is also this interesting text about the nations entering the New Jerusalem with their treasures. I think / hope this shows that whatever was good in destroyed civilisations is somehow preserved by God, and will remain for eternity.
Adamant,
You are absolutely right.