(25 June 2026) It is now 10 pm MST June 25, or, 4 AM GMT, June 26. We have been watching world and Mideast events, waiting for escalation of what looks to be the Second Signpost.
The Strait of Hormuz was closed for 112 days. It has now been open for five days.
Mixed Signals
In the last few days, the number of ships has been increasing that go through the Strait of Hormuz (as observed at marinetraffic.com). Today, it was up to 77 ships. This is the highest number in one day since the war started and maybe half of a typical day before the war.
Snapshot of lack of crude oil tanker and cargo ship traffic through Strait of Hormuz on June 25, 5 am GMT, 2026. From marinetraffic.com.
However, as this news report states, the IRGC attacked a Singaporean cargo ship, damaging its bridge.
Conclusion
Thankfully no one was killed in the attack. My guess is this was done by the IRGC to keep the situation on edge, so that the regime would not be seen as something that had become completely peaceful during these 60 days of talks. It’s to keep the tension up while Iran kills time until the fall before ratcheting up the Second Signpost.
Categories: In The News, Signpost #2: Iran, World in the End Times
THE FOUR SIGNPOSTS 
I believe Trump’s words of arrogance will come back to haunt him (and us). When it looked like we had the upper hand Trump said then the there was no need to negotiate and that we want “unconditional surrender”. He also said to victor go the spoils of war. If Iran gains the upper hand with another closure of the Straight can Iran can they say “no oil unless there is regime change in America” and then “to the victor go the spoils: oil is now $1000 per barrel”? https://www.youtube.com/shorts/1WeTl8k2GpY
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/jNnrRxuIE3o
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RYDdzyfnBXc
Karl,
Nice one… The fantasy of Iran demanding regime change in the US in exchange for oil had crossed my mind too, though only as a joke. But who knows, something like that is not entirely unthinkable.
We are in a very vague, indeterminate interbellum.
In the news, many commentators write that the crisis is over.
Some who never wrote about a crisis now suddenly say that a crisis is averted.
Even some who did predict a crisis apologise and write that the energy market is more resilient than they thought:
– Optimising pipeline use
– Increasing production elsewhere
– Getting tankers through under the radar
– Most of all thanks to all the loving sacrificial millions in Asia and Africa who sharply cut their oil & gas use so we can keep using as much fuel as we want
– Let’s not forget to thank Mammon, our world of finance and trade, which manipulated the oil prices so that they remain low for us while others had nothing.
The current situation and news about it seems optimised to keep as much people as possible relieved, or bored, or disinterested, or optimistic, getting on as if nothing is going on, travelling first class on the Titanic, just having missed an iceberg, and now sailing on in mist and fog with very few lookouts as if there are no more icebergs coming.
The few remaining lookouts say:
– Wasn’t the crisis only postponed, because of massive depletions of storage?
– Aren’t those storages still being depleted?
– Aren’t these going to be emptier still before the few trapped tankers that now get out reach our refineries?
– Isn’t that whole trapped amount only a few days of world consumption?
– Didn’t Saudi Arabia and Qatar announce they are starting everything again, but that it will take a few weeks to get everything flowing again?
– Will the oil and gas then coming out not take quite a few more weeks to reach all refineries?
– Aren’t all storages completely empty before then?
– How open is that Strait anyway? How many ships actually go through, now and in the coming weeks and months?
Summing up all of this, I have a hypothesis.
The things that happened to Asia and Africa kept the USA and Europe safe.
Cannot the same happen again? That when prices *almost* skyrocket some time this summer, those manipulating finance and trade can do their tricks once more, keeping the oil flowing to the USA, while Europe then gets in an oil crisis, even though the price of oil and fuel again remains relatively low?
And the U.S. counter-attacked today.
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2026/06/us-strikes-iran-response-attack-commercial-vessel-strait/