(10 July 2026) It is now 10 pm MST July 10, or, 5 AM GMT, July 11. We have been watching events centered on Iran and its regime, waiting for escalation of what looks to be the Second Signpost.
The Strait of Hormuz is closed again. The Strait was closed solidly for 112 days starting on March 2, allowing the global inventory of oil to drain to near zero.
It has now been 20 days that the closure ended and the Strait opened, but the opening has been on again and off again. And now the Strait is closed again.
Newsmax reports that two carriers—the USS Abraham Lincoln and USS George H.W. Bush—with 20 other naval combat ships are sailing to the Gulf of Oman, just outside of the Strait of Hormuz.
Speculation is the US will reinstate the naval blockade and/or step up attacks on Iranian targets.
Conclusion
It looks like the on-again, off-again closing of the Strait, and the tit-for-tat exchange of attacks between Iran and the US that has been going on for the last three weeks or so, is about to step up again. We may see the intensity of the Iran War we saw a couple months ago, re-start.
Keep watch.
Categories: In The News, Signpost #2: Iran, World in the End Times
THE FOUR SIGNPOSTS 
The Enforcer Youtube channel’s stream tonight said in the first few minutes that Russia has now lost so much fuel capacity that their agricultural harvest this fall will collapse.
K,
So Ukraine did to Russia, what Iran has yet to do with the world. Tragic.
Thanks for the word.
Mark and K: With the acceleration of events do you think the full swing of the second sign post can be postponed till the November election?
I just listened to part of a report from the Enforcer of July 7. The fuel that Russian car owners are able to get at very high prices are corroding their engines. It’s sort of like buying tires that are worn and have nails in them. So now they have to pay for fuel system repairs on top of that.
Is that what we have to look forward to?
Karl,
This is all a guess of course. I would say a delay to September is more likely, but I don’t know if it would delay to November. I wouldn’t think as late as November.
Karl,
What we have to look forward to is the peace of mind of people being taken away by the second horseman. It will likely take different forms and intensities in different places around the world. You just found what part of that means in Russia. I believe in the USA we will experience dollar hyperinflation.
The report above by K is confirmed by Reuters: already ten days ago Putin acknowledged the problems with fuel are affecting the Russian harvest:
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/russian-frustration-rises-fuel-crisis-bites-2026-07-02/
Also Ukraine reported before that Russia is using drones to set fire to Ukrainian crops to damage their harvest.
And Russian attacks on Ukraine may cut Ukrainian grain exports by a third:
https://www.reuters.com/world/russian-attacks-could-cut-ukraine-grain-exports-by-third-2026-06-18/
These three developments do not bode well for the world’s agricultural output this fall, which already is negatively affected by fertiliser shortages, high fertiliser prices and a very dry US growth season now. Ukraine + Russia are very important food exporters.
I used to think that US and EU themselves will not be that hard hit by famine, because they can afford to buy food at higher prices, at the detriment of poorer regions. Yet my personal “peace of mind” about this is decreasing somewhat with all these new negative factors appearing on top of existing ones.
Since we are talking about Russia and Ukraine again:
Some Dutch journalists are increasingly concerned about Russia escalating against Europe sooner than many expect.
Ukraine in the past years has systematically used its growing drone capacity to attack Russian air defences, especially the anti-drone defences. (Russia itself helped Ukraine in this by using up way too many of their S-300 air defence missiles against ground targets.)
Last year this started to pay off, and Ukraine since has been crippling Russian oil infrastructure, which is becoming ever more successful and has ever wider consequences. Even Omsk in Siberia, 2,500 km from the Ukrainian border, is no longer safe.
Also the US is now tightening its sanctions against Russia, and Europe is getting ever more aggressive against Russia’s shadow tanker fleet that slips through the sanctions.
Recently the Russian air defences at the front were crippled (destroyed or moved to refineries) so much that Ukraine started targeting Russia’s one but greatest strength: its artillery at the front. This is so successful that the Russian pressure on the front is diminishing noticeably.
Russia’s greatest strength against Ukraine are their Ballistic Missiles. Since Ukraine was out of Patriots they have no defence against those any more: every single missile comes through, and Ukraine’s own anti-missile capacity is still in development.
Trump promised that Ukraine can start making the Patriots themselves, but he did not consult the manufacturers, and it will be a very long time before Ukrainian Patriots are in action.
Maybe to bridge these gaps, Trump and Zelensky agreed that the US will soon ship Patriots to Ukraine again, in exchange for Ukrainian help with US drone programs.
All of this caused panic in the Kremlin among Putin’s advisors, who urged him to start negotiations. Putin became extremely angry at them and remains obsessed about conquering all of Donbass whatever the cost. Now Russia is planning an attack on one of the Baltic states to occupy Europe so it can support Ukraine less, so Russia can take the initiative at the front again. The Baltic states are warning against this already for some time.
Most disconcerting of all however is the change in tone. Russia recently stopped talking about the “special military operation” and now only speaks about the “War”. (Russians using this word before were put in prison.) Use of this word according to Russian law justifies sending reservists into battle and allows full mobilisation.
China has severely warned Russia against using nukes, but if Putin would use one anyway, Europe can cripple Russia in a cyberwar without going nuclear itself, a Dutch strategic think tank suggests.
The above is a summary of these three links:
https://www.bnr.nl/nieuws/internationaal/10605955/met-oekraiense-succes-neemt-ook-het-gevaar-toe-niet-eerder-zon-verandering-van-toon-gezien-in-rusland
https://www.bnr.nl/nieuws/internationaal/10605030/oekraine-brengt-de-oorlog-steeds-verder-rusland-in
https://www.bnr.nl/nieuws/internationaal/10604982/oekraine-plukt-de-vruchten-van-jarenlange-strategie-nucleaire-dreiging-van-poetin-ligt-op-de-loer