The Second Signpost is very close, I believe. Having watched for it since 2003, it seems that the situation in the Middle East and Iran is more than ever ready for the ground invasion to begin.
The Russians are providing a safe wall for Iranian forces to run out west. The nuclear deal has given Iran carte blanche to make the bomb if they haven’t already. The Houthis are running interference in Yemen to the far south. And now Iranian leadership is threatening action on Saudi Arabia for the stampede that killed hundreds of Iranian pilgrims.
This story appeared, quoting Major General Ali Jafari, the head commander of the entire IRGC:
“The IRGC has prepared all its possible potentials in order to fulfill the will of the great leader of the Islamic Revolution and make the Saudi dynasty answer for the crimes it committed in Mina and restore the rights of the victims. We are ready and are awaiting orders.”
In this post, I wrote that it looked like Iran was using the Hajj stampede as a reason to make Saudi Arabia a “bad guy.” It looks like Jafari just took it further.
The writer of the story offers six scenarios that Iran could do militarily, and dismisses as impossible the first scenario: an Iranian ground invasion of Saudi Arabia, i.e. the Second Signpost. This is yet another data point showing a big reason why the Second Signpost will shock people – it is so unexpected.
But those who know the Signpost interpretation can see the invasion coming. Indeed, it looks very close.