Today is Friday, June 26, 2020. It is Day 170 since the grace period began.
A civil war within Libya, ongoing since 2014, is starting to draw in neighboring nations. The two factions fighting each other, to be the official government of Libya, are the Libyan National Army (LNA) backed by Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Jordan, and Egypt, and the Government of National Accord (GNA) backed by Turkey.
To many this may appear as just another Mideast war, but with the Signposts in view, this war has a potential to cause Signpost-related readying events to occur.
For example, Turkey has cast in its lot on one side to be able to eventually have some of Libya’s oil, since Turkey has none of its own, and Libya was once an Ottoman province. However, with Egypt joining in on the GNA’s opposition, with its army being made ready to fight in Libya, there may be a potential for all-out war between Turkey and Egypt.
If this were to occur, Turkey’s forces would be partially tied down as mentioned in this earlier post (but due to a different reason, a new Balkan war), and could Egypt see the secular government supported by its military being toppled and replaced by an Islamist government?
It may seem far-fetched but this scenario could not only encourage Iran’s invasion to occur with Turkey’s forces occupied, but the path would be made to allow Turkey and Egypt to be allies, as the Third Signpost suggests.
Events in Libya will bear watching as they have already elsewhere in the Middle East.