Today is Monday, July 6, 2020. The grace period given by the regime is now in its 180th day. Being almost six months into this time, it seemed good to stop and assess where we are.
The Ram’s Capability
The IRGC has proven its capability to be the Persian ram, to charge out and shock all across the Middle East. They have demonstrated this capability in three key areas:
1) Take out oil facilities hundreds of miles from Iran with extreme precision;
2) Take out US military land assets hundreds of miles from Iran with extreme precision, and;
3) Take out US military ships hundreds of miles from Iran, again with extreme precision.
There is nothing else needed for the IRGC except for the possibility of nuclear warheads, which may or may not be needed.
How Much Longer?
How much longer is it to the start of the Second Signpost? As always, we don’t know. However, it will likely start at the end of the grace period. The grace period may end tomorrow or take several more months.
I’ve been wondering if there is a chance we might see a bit of an echo in the history of the relations between the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran. The echo would be between the start and the end.
On November 4, 1979, about seven months after the Republic was founded with Khomeini as the supreme leader which is the power being the first horn of the ram, Iranian student militants took hostage a number of Americans remaining at the American embassy. A total of 52 American hostages were held 444 days.
In a way, Iran is holding the world hostage to the Second Signpost. I wouldn’t be surprised to see this grace period go as long as 444 days as well. Not only would the history between America and the Islamic Republic begin and end with a period of many days, but a period of 444 days takes us to the end of March 2021, which is springtime, when wars have historically begun in the Middle East.
The recent series of explosions of Iranian facilities may or may not have had great impact on the regime’s plans for the start of their war.