Good Commentary of Where Russia Is At

By Mark Davidson on June 29, 2026 • ( 0 )

(29 June 2026) It is now 10 pm MST June 29, or, 4 AM GMT, June 30. We have been watching events centered on Iran and its regime, waiting for escalation of what looks to be the Second Signpost.

The Strait of Hormuz was closed solidly for 112 days. It was then open for six days.

As of today, it seems to be officially closed again and has now been closed for three days.

The global oil inventory continues to be drawn down to the dregs.

Things are relatively calm in the Persian Gulf, likely waiting for the next round of talks tomorrow, Tuesday, in Qatar. So let’s look at the other hotspot which is the Russia-Ukraine War.

Russia

Daniel Davis of Deep Dive provides a thought provoking commentary on Russia and the position they are being driven to, due to the bombardment by Ukraine using drones from the West.

Davis goes further than my initial thought from this post six days ago about the possibility of Russia lashing out.

The whole video is worth watching. Starting at 07:53, however, he reverses roles. What would we, the USA do, or any number of countries do, in response to the kinds of attacks that Russia has been receiving?

It looks like Russia is getting ready to respond to the countries providing weapons, and the countries providing permission to airspace. Davis makes the point that the US is provoked to military action just with more subtle economic reasons.

Conclusion

I believe Russia is doing what Russia has always done: take punches and absorb lots of damage from adversaries in war, before completely defeating the aggressor.

Think Napoleon and Hitler.

The Russian public is tired of this, and Putin is being pressured to respond.

The Russia-Ukraine War may yet still be connected to the Second Signpost. The first clue was the red line Russia overcame at the start of the current seven-year cycle. (The redline was absorbing the Russians living in east Ukraine into Russia by annexing the territory.)

Might the US military withdraw like we saw might happen?

Might Russia start WW3?

Either of these will open the gate wide to the Second Signpost.

Keep watch.